8 Facts You Need to Know About Stock Market Corrections

My Comments: Virtually every employed person in the US has some expectation of getting older and having to survive on resources accumulated over the years. A great many of them have money accumulating in retirement accounts that to some extent depend on continued advances in the stock and bond markets. It’s very easy to go …

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Why The Stock Market Is Poised To Disappoint For A Decade Or Longer

My Comments: I've been accused by some readers as being completely out of touch with reality. It's largely because my experience with markets over the past 50 years suggest the market performance over the past 6 months is divorced from reality. Meanwhile the market keeps showing signs of both optimism until it isn't. In my …

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The House of Cards is Ready to Collapse

My Comments: I make no claim to being clairvoyant. I can assert, however, that until recently, I spent 45 years as a self-employed professional in financial services and have a basic understanding of how the investment markets work. What many observers miss when commenting is that those of us who are retired don't have decades …

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The Stock Market Flood Gates May Have Just Opened

My Comments: As I write this Tuesday morning, early trading suggests what happened last Thursday and Friday is continuing. I have no idea where today will end or whether we're looking at a dramatic fall. I wouldn't be surprised if it continues this week and next. All I can say is good luck and don't …

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Making Sense Of Thursday’s Market Rout

My Comments: I make no claims about knowing what’s going on or how the future markets will unfold. I do know that I’ve been expecting a correction for months and have been on the sidelines since the recovery began last March. I’ve justified that because I’m more or less retired and don’t need to take …

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The Next Global Depression Is Coming and Optimism Won’t Slow It Down

My Comments: There are those who believe it's different this time. They are mystified some of us suggest the rules that govern economic activity are still valid. What is different is the current pandemic. It has the potential to kill you, especially if you're among the older cohort. Meanwhile we're looking at climate change, more …

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A Huge Market Crash Coming?

My Comments: I have no earthly idea if these guys are right or wrong. What I do know is that we're at war, we're losing, and the markets keep climbing as though their pants are on fire. There are clearly people who think it's different this time. I've been around those kinds of people before, …

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Market Update: The Tail Is Wagging The Dog

My Comments: After 45 years participating in the markets as an investor and as a Registered Investment Advisor Representative, I've become genuinely flummoxed by what we're seeing almost daily on Wall Street. In my limited frame of reference, it makes no sense. There are too many previously reliable signals that what we see happening suggests …

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Rogoff: Why This Time is Really Different

My Comments: Two things of note before you get too far into this post. One is that I distrust assertions that "...this time it's really different". Too often it proves to be wrong. This time it may be right. Two is that I'm scaling back my efforts to present a blog post every weekday. I've …

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The Fed’s Roadmap

My Comments: In earlier post's you've seen remarks from Scott Minerd, someone whose insights and judgements I've followed for years. As usual, he has some insightful comments about the current economy and how it might evolve going forward. I'll leave it to you to decide if he's right, but it's my firm belief he's not …

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