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My Comments: I've been accused by some readers as being completely out of touch with reality. It's largely because my experience with markets over the past 50 years suggest the market performance over the past 6 months is divorced from reality. Meanwhile the market keeps showing signs of both optimism until it isn't. In my …
Continue reading Why The Stock Market Is Poised To Disappoint For A Decade Or Longer
My Comments: I make no claim to being clairvoyant. I can assert, however, that until recently, I spent 45 years as a self-employed professional in financial services and have a basic understanding of how the investment markets work. What many observers miss when commenting is that those of us who are retired don't have decades …
My Comments: As I write this Tuesday morning, early trading suggests what happened last Thursday and Friday is continuing. I have no idea where today will end or whether we're looking at a dramatic fall. I wouldn't be surprised if it continues this week and next. All I can say is good luck and don't …
Continue reading The Stock Market Flood Gates May Have Just Opened
My Comments: I make no claims about knowing what’s going on or how the future markets will unfold. I do know that I’ve been expecting a correction for months and have been on the sidelines since the recovery began last March. I’ve justified that because I’m more or less retired and don’t need to take …
My Comments: There are those who believe it's different this time. They are mystified some of us suggest the rules that govern economic activity are still valid. What is different is the current pandemic. It has the potential to kill you, especially if you're among the older cohort. Meanwhile we're looking at climate change, more …
Continue reading The Next Global Depression Is Coming and Optimism Won’t Slow It Down
My Comments: I have no earthly idea if these guys are right or wrong. What I do know is that we're at war, we're losing, and the markets keep climbing as though their pants are on fire. There are clearly people who think it's different this time. I've been around those kinds of people before, …
My Comments: After 45 years participating in the markets as an investor and as a Registered Investment Advisor Representative, I've become genuinely flummoxed by what we're seeing almost daily on Wall Street. In my limited frame of reference, it makes no sense. There are too many previously reliable signals that what we see happening suggests …
My Comments: Two things of note before you get too far into this post. One is that I distrust assertions that "...this time it's really different". Too often it proves to be wrong. This time it may be right. Two is that I'm scaling back my efforts to present a blog post every weekday. I've …
My Comments: In earlier post's you've seen remarks from Scott Minerd, someone whose insights and judgements I've followed for years. As usual, he has some insightful comments about the current economy and how it might evolve going forward. I'll leave it to you to decide if he's right, but it's my firm belief he's not …
My Comments: Mindful that we could use some good news, this may disappoint most of you. But it is what it is and like so many messages these days, we all need to come together as one and fight like hell for a better world. But the reality of economics, just like the reality of …
Continue reading A three-phase recession will be ‘unlike anything we have seen in modern history’
