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My Comments: lost in the news cycles now heavily invested in the Ukraine/Trump matters, is the state of our economy. While correlation is never 100%, there is a relationship between the state of the economy and the performance of the stock and bond markets. And those markets are where millions of us have money invested …
Continue reading Consumers may have carried markets as far as they can
My Comments: I don’t enjoy paying taxes. Never have. But from day one I’ve known they were a necessary evil. So I paid and rarely complained since I knew life in civilized society calls for answers that only government can satisfy. Over the last several decades, however, and especially of late, tax breaks have gone …
My Comments: I’m more than a little tired of woe and gloom every day. Yes, I’m alive and well as are members of my family. But it’s impossible to go a single day without someone hurling invective about politics, about the trade war, about Brexit, about the current occupant of the White House, about small …
Continue reading U.S. Manufacturing Dives to 10-year Low as Trade Tensions Weigh
My Comments: Good times followed by bad times followed by good times is a pattern that more or less defines humanity on this planet for the last several thousand years. And probably before there was a recorded history. When talking about the economy, whether from a global perspective, or one focused exclusively on the United …
Continue reading Forecasting the Next Recession: Will Rate Cuts Be Enough?
My Comments: This is not intended as a dig at Trump, except to the extent he made pre-election promises that were not economically viable. Bringing back the coal industry to help Make America Great Again was never a rational objective in 2016. As I read this article, my mind went back to my days in …
Continue reading Major US Insurer Says It Will No Longer Underwrite and Invest in Coal
My Comments: Tariffs, pressure on the Federal Reserve to lower already low interest rates, shotgun diplomacy, all of it helping to increase uncertainty, which increases the chance of the next global recession. For reasons unfamiliar to me, our President is determined in his attempts to marginalize China on the global stage. The tariff efforts are …
My Comments: I do not claim to be a negotiator. I do not claim to be knowledgeable about global trade. I do not claim to understand the dynamics that govern the behavior of nation states across the planet. But I do know when to seek out and listen to the advice of those who are …
Continue reading Everyone has forgotten about why Donald Trump can’t win a trade war with China
