My Comments: Yesterday, a friend attended a luncheon where the speaker focused on our “debt crisis”. His position was that it is much worse that suspected, that it approaches $65 Trillion. That’s Trillion, with a “T”. I have no way to know if this is true or not, but to whatever extent it is real, there is more going on nationally and globally than I am comfortable with.

The author of this article echoes a caution I’ve been giving my children for some years now. That they need to be conscious as they participate in the voting process of electing people who will make an effort to limit the disconnect between what I call the “haves” versus the “have nots”. If that disconnect gets too great, they will be faced with social chaos before their lives play out.

I don’t have a good answer; there may not be one. But as I attempt to manage the financial lives of my clients, these are issues that influence how their money is managed for use in the future.

By George Friedman

Last week I wrote about the crisis of unemployment in Europe. I received a great deal of feedback, with Europeans agreeing that this is the core problem and Americans arguing that the United States has the same problem, asserting that U.S. unemployment is twice as high as the government’s official unemployment rate. My counterargument is that unemployment in the United States is not a problem in the same sense that it is in Europe because it does not pose a geopolitical threat. The United States does not face political disintegration from unemployment, whatever the number is. Europe might.

At the same time, I would agree that the United States faces a potentially significant but longer-term geopolitical problem deriving from economic trends. The threat to the United States is the persistent decline in the middle class’ standard of living, a problem that is reshaping the social order that has been in place since World War II and that, if it continues, poses a threat to American power.

The Crisis of the American Middle Class

The median household income of Americans in 2011 was $49,103. Adjusted for inflation, the median income is just below what it was in 1989 and is $4,000 less than it was in 2000. Take-home income is a bit less than $40,000 when Social Security and state and federal taxes are included. That means a monthly income, per household, of about $3,300. It is urgent to bear in mind that half of all American households earn less than this. It is also vital to consider not the difference between 1990 and 2011, but the difference between the 1950s and 1960s and the 21st century. This is where the difference in the meaning of middle class becomes most apparent.

In the 1950s and 1960s, the median income allowed you to live with a single earner — normally the husband, with the wife typically working as homemaker — and roughly three children. It permitted the purchase of modest tract housing, one late model car and an older one. It allowed a driving vacation somewhere and, with care, some savings as well. I know this because my family was lower-middle class, and this is how we lived, and I know many others in my generation who had the same background. It was not an easy life and many luxuries were denied us, but it wasn’t a bad life at all.

Read more: The Crisis of the Middle Class and American Power | Stratfor