World Weather Gone Haywire: Effect On… and the Economy

My Comments: No, we are not doomed. But it’s worth paying attention to from time to time. If you are looking for solace, you won’t find it here. My cousin in England just wrote to tell me their weather is noxious and unpleasant. Have you thought about the price of vegetables and fruit in the coming months, stuff that we normally get from California? No rain there at all.

The people who give us economic data now say that the first quarter of 2014 saw really bad numbers. Early on it was an assumption that the economy was poised to enter another recession. Now, the powers that be say it was largely the weather. That’s a mixed blessing.

If you insist on keeping your head where the sun never shines, sooner or later it won’t matter how hot it is. Regardless of whether this is Gods’ plan, if the oceans continue to rise, life is going to be more difficult for my grandchildren. But I guess if God hasn’t yet told you the plan can be changed by paying attention to CO2 levels, you don’t have to worry about consequences. And anyway, I’ll be dead by then and my Tea Party friends can claim all the credit.

James Roemer / Feb. 19, 2014

Cold U.S. Winter Affecting Nation’s Economy

You have heard it on your local news for weeks, read about it in dozens of newspapers around the world and if you live in the deep south, Midwest or Northeast, have “felt” it first hand—the most severe U.S. winter since 1982, at a time when much of the rest of the planet continues to see overall warmer than normal weather.

Look for another potential big storm in the east around February 26th and at the very least, record cold weather next week into early March.

You can hear a broadcast on Bloomberg a while back talking about natural gas prices possibly going over $6.00 and discussing global warming, the Brazilian drought, etc.

The adverse weather is having a multi-billion dollar affect on our nation’s economy. Pipes are bursting in the Northeast, salt companies are running out of supplies to remove snow, and various businesses are running into more economic hardship, as a result of the weather. Florists saw national revenues fall 60% during the Valentine’s Day period, unable to deliver flowers to tens of thousands of loved ones.

Our $16 trillion economy can usually ward off a couple of snowstorms, but NOT the incessant nature of 3 consecutive months of brutal cold and near record snowfall, in which tens of thousands of flights are being cancelled every other week. Other industries such as plastic and rubber products, auto sales, etc. are also being hurt.

The drought in California (one of the top 8 economies in the world), could also have a trillion dollar affect on our nation’s economy as food bills could soar without widespread rains and winter snow cover in the next winter or two. If El Nino forms, this could all change. It’s something I am arduously looking into.

TK – the balance of this article is full of charts and comments that may influence you if you are a short term trader. My primary interest is the long term performance of clients money (and mine) so I tend to ignore short term issues as they are largely noise. But global warming is going to have a long term influence on virtually everything, including our money. To get to the site where you can see the charts and read the rest…
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