Treading Water: Four Economic & Market Trends Likely to Continue in 2014

My Comments: Understanding how markets work over time is a very helpful skill set if you are advising clients about their money. Especially if they are worried about where money will come from to pay their bills far into the future. For many, the short term “noise” that comes from what one reads in papers …

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Bad Is Stronger Than Good

My Comments: Yesterday, I reposted an article that claims virutally all economists are in agreement that the stimulus pushed by this administration served to keep us from falling into a drepression, and that the major argument was whether the stumulus should have been stronger. Here is an article from last week that considers the mental …

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The Future Still Belongs to the Emerging Markets

My Comments: As someone who has helped clients manage their money for almost four decades, I’m still often caught up in the "crisis de jour", what's happening TODAY, as opposed to stepping back and looking at things from further away. Our society has become obsessed with WHAT IS HAPPENING NOW, and often fails to put …

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Why North American Oil Prices Are Set For A Big Drop

My Comments: The price of gasoline in this country has a huge influence on whether the economy grows or shrinks. (It is NEVER static.) We’ve all heard that with access to incredible reserves of natural gas, we as a nation are going to become a net exporter of fuel over the next decade or so. …

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Most Americans Favor Raising Minimum Wage

My Comments: By now you probably know there is a movement afoot to raise the minimum wage and that President Obama allowed as how he was going to include this idea for all contracts awarded by the Federal Government going forward. By now you also know that I’m no longer a young man, having read …

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Washington Must Not Settle for Secular Stagnation

My Comments: Tonight there will be a State of the Union Address. I read that it will include references to income inequality. Many might argue why this is important. If the vast majority of us have only enough money to sustain ourselves, with our time and energy focused on simply staying alive, it leaves little …

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7 Big Economic Predictions for Next 10 Years

The modest global recovery will endure, but market volatility is likely as the Fed tapers By Melanie Waddell / January 16, 2014 The economic outlook for the next 10 years will be one of resiliency, with the U.S. in 2014 and 2015 facing cyclical risks tilted toward better-than-trend growth for the first time since the …

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What Accounts For The Decrease In The Labor Force Participation Rate?

My Comments: I bet you are saying this is just another weird observation from Tony. And you may be right. But mindful that many of you, and many of me, are thinking of ways to predict what the markets will do this year. So... A reasonable predictor of future market movements which translates to whether …

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The 88-Year History Of U.S. Capital Markets From 1926-2013: What Happened When?

My Comments: With 2013 now in the rear view mirror, the compelling question is what is likely to happen in 2014. Every projection, mine, yours, experts of every stripe, have only the past available to offer insights for predicting the future. Here is someone who has created tables based on five and ten year results …

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The Affordable Care Act’s Most Important Date: Not What You Think

My Comments: You already know my opinions about the PPACA and how it will morph over the next ten years. Here’s another element that will focus people’s attention as contrasts start to appear between states that are willing to participate and those that do not. Since Florida has chosen to NOT participate in the Medicaid …

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